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Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 12:14 am
by Wags
EvanJ wrote:Wags wrote:
It's now up to 14 and 146, which would equate to an 80-66 UCLA win.
Interestingly, there's another CAA team playing at a Pac-12 team tonight... William & Mary at Stanford (-11, 139.5 O/U).
https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-ba ... las-vegas/ now says 14.5 and 145, so makes 80-65. It says 11 and 138.5 for W&M, which makes 75-64.
The free part of KenPom has UCLA by about 9.5. The Sagarin and its components take UCLA by 11.07, 10.96, 9.28, and 16.05, with the last one from the Recent component. Therefore the formulas say you should take Hofstra against the spread. UCLA is undefeated, but they're 74th in the Sagarin because their SOS is 270th. They haven't left home, and their 4 wins are against teams with an average NET of 204th last season. Taking out those teams' losses to UCLA that don't go in UCLA's SOS, those teams are 5-8 this season. In harder remaining nonconference games, UCLA plays Brigham Young (BYU) and two other teams possibly including Kansas in Hawaii, goes to Notre Dame, and plays North Carolina in Las Vegas. They play two common opponents with Hofstra, which are San Jose State and Cal State Fullerton.
https://gohofstra.com/news/2019/11/19/m ... -ucla.aspx is Hofstra's preview titled "MBB: Hofstra Heads West To Historic Pauley Pavilion To Face UCLA."
https://s3.amazonaws.com/sidearm.sites/ ... 0game5.pdf is Hofstra's Game Notes.
https://uclabruins.com/news/2019/11/19/ ... ening.aspx is UCLA's preview titled "UCLA Set to Face Hofstra on Thursday Evening."
https://s3.amazonaws.com/sidearm.sites/ ... _Nov21.pdf is UCLA's Game Notes. Neither one says a word about our current team. They have the 2001 NCAA Tournament box score.
http://stats.statbroadcast.com/broadcast/?id=279769 will have statistics. They use the StatBroadcast format that I like much better than SidearmStats. I'll be asleep during the game, but tomorrow morning it will have details that other sites don't have.
If anyone doesn't get Pac-12 Networks and is up at 1:00 A.M., they let you watch 5 minutes per month for free, so you can watch the end if it's close, albeit if it goes overtime you couldn't watch that.
Ah, that would've been a smart strategy. I already used up my five minutes at the start. LOL
11-7 Bruins, at the first media timeout after Hofstra led, 5-3.
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 12:23 am
by Flying Dutchmen
Down 17-11 early, don't look too bad, pissing away offensive possessions though.
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 12:24 am
by Flying Dutchmen
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 12:39 am
by Wags
Schutte hasn't scored nor taken a shot, but he's been a factor on defense down low.
Hofstra on a 9-0 run to get within 32-28.
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 12:50 am
by Wags
Hughes looked awful against NY Tech. He looked like he belonged more at their level than in the CAA. Yet, here he is giving a couple of valuable minutes at UCLA at the end of the half after Schutte picked up his 3rd PF.
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 12:52 am
by Wags
Hofstra started 1/4 from 3, but is now 6/11.
UCLA started 4/6 from 3, but is now 5/12.
Pemberton 13, Buie 11, and Hofstra is right there! 42-41, UCLA at halftime.
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 12:55 am
by HUSID74
Hanging tough despite getting killed on the boards. Hughes is in the last few minutes!
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 12:56 am
by Flying Dutchmen
I don't know how we hung in there, but good job Pemba and Buie, carrying us.
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 12:58 am
by Cards
Good showing so far.
Size difference is hurting. Getting beat up badly inside. One and done on offense.
Good ball movement, pretty good perimeter defense. 6 for 11 on 3s. DB and EP both playing like senior co-captains are supposed to play. Its good to see.
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 1:00 am
by Wags
Flying Dutchmen wrote:I don't know how we hung in there, but good job Pemba and Buie, carrying us.
Defense and the turnaround in 3s. Couldn't hit those early and UCLA could. Both of those turned around significantly. And Hofstra's defense is forcing turnovers that are hurting UCLA. All any Hofstra could've asked for in that first half. First 5-8 minutes or so of the second half will be huge to try to stay in this the rest of the way.
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 1:04 am
by Pride97
Ball movement much improved in the latter part of the half. Rushed some really bad shots early.
Hopefully they will continue to make their open shots and try to force turnovers to try to counteract the size deficiency.
They are playing tough though. Keep it up!!!
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 1:32 am
by Wags
Continuing to hang in, down just 63-61 with under 9 left.
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 1:37 am
by Cards
up 4 - 7 min left
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 1:37 am
by Hof_Judge99
Anyone have a good link for a stream?
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 1:37 am
by jaspegs
Let’s go! Keep this ball movement and keep doubling the post!
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 1:40 am
by Wags
Not sure if they'll win, but this won't be like the NCAAT in 2001. This is going down to the final minute, I think.
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 1:46 am
by Cards
up 6 - 4:29 to go
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 1:47 am
by HUSID74
.Come on guys close it out!
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 1:56 am
by Wags
HUSID74 wrote:.Come on guys close it out!
THIS is why we both said earlier on here that it's a long season and WAY too soon for the doom and gloom we were seeing after only THREE games!
Re: MBB Game 5: at UCLA (Thu 11/21, 11 pm ET)
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 2:02 am
by Flying Dutchmen
88-78!!!!!!
What a half!!