MBB Game 7 vs. San Diego 11/27

[triplec2195]

I thought this would already be posted but we are becoming a bit complacent here. Busy I guess!! We are 1 point favorites in this game per Newsday and maybe should be favored by more. Statistically speaking we're superior to S.D. in every category F.G. % OURS 48% TO THEIRS 40.3, 3 point shooting ours 39.6 to 31.4, points scored 90th to 199th and rebounding us 38.5 a game to 31.3. They don't start anyone bigger then 6'8" so we should matchup very well in terms of size. They go into this game 2-5 so clearly this a game we should win. Let's get a nice win and a western sweep before we travel to Florida!!

[garyg]

How can we view tonights game ??

[HUSID74]

I thought this would already be posted but we are becoming a bit complacent here. Busy I guess!! We are 1 point favorites in this game per Newsday and maybe should be favored by more. Statistically speaking we're superior to S.D. in every category F.G. % OURS 48% TO THEIRS 40.3, 3 point shooting ours 39.6 to 31.4, points scored 90th to 199th and rebounding us 38.5 a game to 31.3. They don't start anyone bigger then 6'8" so we should matchup very well in terms of size. They go into this game 2-5 so clearly this a game we should win. Let's get a nice win and a western sweep before we travel to Florida!!

These numbers etc. don't take into account their strength of schedule. They're coming off a loss to a very strong Washington team.
Sagarin rates their opponents so far at 76.63, the 61st toughest schedule in the nation so far vs. our 69.52 SOS, 248th in the country.
IMO will be a tough game.

[Mikey77]

HUSID74 is right. This is a tough match up for us. Hopefully, the team brings its A game as it has on this road trip.

[Wags]

At 6-10, 245, and San Diego's second-leading scorer, this guy could be trouble for HU's guard-oriented, somewhat big man-deficient lineup:
https://www.espn.com/mens-college-baske ... -massalski

Numbers-wise, San DIego is like CSF with its struggles to score and shoot (just 64.1 ppg on only 40.3% shooting, including just 31.4% from 3), but some of that is a function of the tough schedule they've played. They also seem to be pretty deep, with eight different guys playing at least 19 mpg and while scoring at least 6.3 ppg and a ninth guy playing 14.4 mpg. So, good thing HU didn't have to break much of a sweat against CSF and has two days off since.

Hofstra is a 2-point favorite, with a 143 O/U, so Vegas is expecting about a 73-71 Hofstra win. HU was also only a 3 1/2-point favorite at CSF and we saw how that worked out. Up 15-2 and never looked back. So, another possible quick start (if they can do it) could tell the tale in this one.

Could be a difficult game. San Diego has been a fairly solid program the past two years (NIT trip and a deep CIT run), and of course plays in a pretty good league in the WCC. Have caught them on TV a couple times over that time. Looked decent. But this seems to be an extremely winnable game for HU, even by double digits, if Hofstra plays the way it has so far on this CA trip.

Posted it elsewhere before they left, that after the inconsistent start to the season, these CA and FL trips could be very beneficial in helping the team get away for a while, bond, gel and find an identity before returning home. Seeing how they played at UCLA and at CSF, and looking at this game at San Diego, and the opposing field in FL, I expect that to continue tonight and right through the FL trip.

[triplec2195]

A tough match up yes but still feel we should win this game. Yes they have a stronger strength of schedule of course they have to play Gonzaga a few times true.
As far as Massalski is concerned it appears that he only played in the 1st game and scored 11 points playing 27 minutes. He hasn't played in a game since so maybe he's hurt??

[Wags]

A tough match up yes but still feel we should win this game. Yes they have a stronger strength of schedule of course they have to play Gonzaga a few times true. Our only common opponent so far was Fresno state who we beat by 22 points on their court. San Diego beat them playing at home by 6 points. You can draw whatever conclusions you like lets see what happens.
As far as Massalski is concerned it appears that he only played in the 1st game and scored 11 points playing 27 minutes. He hasn't played in a game since so maybe he's hurt??

Yeah, looked too quickly and didn't catch that - he's apparently out 4-6 weeks after surgery to remove bone spurs in his left foot, so no need to worry about him. Suprised HU is only a 2-pt. favorite without Massalski playing.

HU and SD haven't had any common opponents this year. I think you're confusing Fresno State with Cal State Fullerton.

As far as SD's SOS, they haven't played in conference yet, so no Gonzaga yet - I meant who they've played so far (and SD's poor scoring and shooting numbers so far this season perhaps being skewed by that), especially the last three games, which includes an always tough SD State team and Colorado and Washington, but of whom were ranked No. 25 at the timed SD played them.

[triplec2195]

You’re right Wags my bad re common opponents!

[Flying Dutchmen]

This a good matchup for us, USD doesn't shoot or rebound well. This has been a long road trip though, hopefully we're focused. Need another big day from Buie, more as a distributor than anything.

[cactus]

How can we view tonights game ??

Looks like it might be the same as the Bucknell game:
https://watchstadium.com/live/hofstra-at-san-diego/

[EvanJ]

https://gohofstra.com/news/2019/11/25/m ... -trip.aspx is Hofstra's preview titled "MBB: Hofstra Looks To Complete Perfect Road Trip."

https://s3.amazonaws.com/sidearm.sites/ ... 0game7.pdf is Hofstra's Game Notes.

https://usdtoreros.com/news/2019/11/26/ ... assic.aspx is San Diego's preview titled "San Diego Hosts Hofstra to Start Boca Raton Beach Classic." It doesn't say anything about us.

https://s3.amazonaws.com/usdtoreros.com ... ofstra.pdf is San Diego's Game Notes, which are unusually short at 13 pages. If Cramer is our only redshirt, both teams have 12 scholarship players including 1 redshirt. Alex Floresca is a redshirt senior and the only senior, and he averages 7.6 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 2.4 assists.

https://usdtoreros.com/sports/mens-bask ... ts/2019-20 has San Diego's statistics.

https://usdtoreros.com/sidearmstats/mbball/summary will have statistics using Sidearm Stats, which I don't like as much as StatBroadcast that all CAA teams use.

http://stats.statbroadcast.com/broadcast/?id=278229 has statistics for Stony Brook at Delaware at 7:00 P.M. if anybody wants to follow that game before we play.

[EvanJ]

Unfortunately there will not be free video for the games in Florida. You can pay $6.95 or $10.95 for one month that includes all games of the tournament and all games at Florida Atlantic, who hosts the tournament. If you pay $10.95, you must cancel before it auto-renews. I'm not going to pay. Even if I never watched game other than Hofstra Men's Basketball, $12.50 for one month of FloHoops provides a lot more than 2 games. Here's a summary of video for our 8 nonconference games not at home:

Free video: 3 (Bucknell, Cal State Fullerton, and San Diego)
ESPN+ video: 2 (St. Bonaventure and Princeton)
CUSA.TV for Florida Atlantic: 2 (described above)
No way to watch if you don't get Pac-12 Networks on TV: 1 (UCLA)

If you do not pay for any video, you can watch 8 of our remaining 25 games before the CAA Tournament. Those are tonight, 4 on Pride Productions (Manhattan and 3 CAA games), and 3 on CBS Sports Network. I think the home games on Pride Productions and the home games on FloHoops will look the same, the only difference being that the former is free.

[Wags]

This link is working:

https://watchstadium.com/live/hofstra-at-san-diego/

Not sure if it's just a free preview for a little while or if it'll be for the whole game.

[EvanJ]

It's 9-9. Pemberton has 7 and Kante has 2 from at the basket. We have made 2 of 3 two, 1 of 4 threes, and 2 of 2 free throws. Pemberton's first free throw rolled before going in.

[Wags]

It's 9-9. Pemberton has 7 and Kante has 2 from at the basket. We have made 2 of 3 two, 1 of 4 threes, and 2 of 2 free throws. Pemberton's first free throw rolled before going in.

The Kante bucket was encouraging. Established good position around the left elbow, they fed it into him, took one dribble, turned and a strong, quick, decisive move off glass. Need to see more of that from him.

[Cards]

It's 9-9. Pemberton has 7 and Kante has 2 from at the basket. We have made 2 of 3 two, 1 of 4 threes, and 2 of 2 free throws. Pemberton's first free throw rolled before going in.

The Kante bucket was encouraging. Established good position around the left elbow, they fed it into him, took one dribble, turned and a strong, quick, decisive move off glass. Need to see more of that from him.

Agree Wags - that was his best move of the half. Major issue with his defense, however. So obvious he's trying not to foul - he's simply backing away from playing any D near the hoop. If SD had a decent center, he'd have at least 15 pts already.

EP and TC look like they are on thier games. Most of the other guys look a little off. FT shooting is the difference, as we are extremely hot at the line and getting there often.

[HUSID74]

They hit a hail mary three to close the deficit at halftime. We need to hit more threes and keep going to the line. Let's go Hofstra!

[Wags]

Too bad Calcaterra hit a long prayer 3 to beat the first half buzzer, or HU would have a nice 40-33 lead at the break. Still, they're up 40-36.

Eli: 13 on 4/7 fg
Kante: 7 & 4
Coburn: 10
Ray: 7
Buie: only 2 and no FGM on 4 shots after his career-high 29 at UCLA two games earlier.

FTs are the story in this one so far: Hofstra 14/16, San Diego 1/2. A sign that the team is getting smarter... 3s didn't fall (2/10), so they didn't keep chucking -- only 10 of 26 total FGA from 3, while attacking and getting to the line often, instead.

[EvanJ]

A sign that the team is getting smarter... 3s didn't fall (2/10), so they didn't keep chucking -- only 10 of 26 total FGA from 3, while attacking and getting to the line often, instead.

10 out of 26 attempts being threes is 38.5 percent, which is above our 36.3 percent before today. Last season it was 38.9 percent. Having 38.5 percent of attempts being threes isn't extreme in either direction.

We led by as much as 10. San Diego made a long 3 at the buzzer to trail 40-36. San Diego is shooting field goals and threes better, but we lead because we shot free throws 14-16 and they shot 1-2. We attempted the first 14 free throws, and San Diego's only attempts were after a shooting foul with 2:34 left. The free throw disparity is important, but the announcer said it too many times. The announcer made mistakes including saying that our largest lead was 9 and San Diego was on an 8-0 run and down 2. The statistics say we committed 3 fouls, but the screen showed 5. The statistics were temporarily wrong about something, and they made another mistake by giving Kante a made free throw during halftime.

Edit: Now the statistics say we have 42 points. Somebody needs to learn Computers 101/Basketball 101/Statistics 101.

[Wags]

A sign that the team is getting smarter... 3s didn't fall (2/10), so they didn't keep chucking -- only 10 of 26 total FGA from 3, while attacking and getting to the line often, instead.

10 out of 26 attempts being threes is 38.5 percent, which is above our 36.3 percent before today. Last season it was 38.9 percent. Having 38.5 percent of attempts being threes isn't extreme in either direction.

We led by as much as 10. San Diego made a long 3 at the buzzer to trail 40-36. San Diego is shooting field goals and threes better, but we lead because we shot free throws 14-16 and they shot 1-2. We attempted the first 14 free throws, and San Diego's only attempts were after a shooting foul with 2:34 left. The free throw disparity is important, but the announcer said it too many times. The announcer made mistakes including saying that our largest lead was 9 and San Diego was on an 8-0 run and down 2. The statistics say we committed 3 fouls, but the screen showed 5. The statistics were temporarily wrong about something, and they made another mistake by giving Kante a made free throw during halftime.

Edit: Now the statistics say we have 42 points. Somebody needs to learn Computers 101/Basketball 101/Statistics 101.

I'm not going by the average, I'm going by what they've been known to do in a lot of games, specifically... like against San Jose State, when they kept bricking 3s and barely went to the line. So, it's good to see them not get near 50% or more of their shots from 3 and instead get that many attempts at the line.

It keeps changing... it said 45-36 at the half, then 43-36, now back to 40-36... and the individual point amounts for HU's players keep changing. What. Is. Going. On?!?!