Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

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triplec2195
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Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by triplec2195 »

I'm looking around for a point spread and team matchups and find the following; NE scores 74 points per game and we average 82.2. They get 30.8 rebounds and we average 35.4. Our assists per game are almost identical at 14.5 to our 14.4. We allow 66.8 and they allow 74. We clearly have the advantage statistically speaking but they have played a lot of their games without their starting 5. The point spread I'm seeing from SPORTS JAW shows us a 10.5 point favorite. I'm thinking that sounds like a lot of points but we only care about winning not covering the spread. I like us a lot in this game the way we're playing!
EvanJ
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by EvanJ »

I'm surprised by that line also. The components of the Sagarin take us by 6.49, 6.79, 4.78, and 8.48. The last component is Recent, which favors us more due to our winning streak and their loss to Delaware. Jeff Sagarin keeps his formula private, but it makes sense that we are better in the Recent component than overall. My guess for the score margin is closer to the Sagarin like 7 or 8.

https://gohofstra.com/news/2019/1/3/men ... -test.aspx is Hofstra's preview titled "MBB: Hofstra Hosts Northeastern In Big Early CAA Test."

https://s3.amazonaws.com/sidearm.sites/ ... game16.pdf is Hofstra's Game Notes.

https://nuhuskies.com/news/2019/1/4/men ... fstra.aspx is Northeastern's preview titled "MBB headed out to Hofstra: Northeastern will look to bounce back against a winning Pride program."

https://s3.amazonaws.com/northeastern.i ... ofstra.pdf is Northeastern's Game Notes.
garyg
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by garyg »

Northeastern is healthy now ??
stuball888
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by stuball888 »

For the most part yes
HUSID74
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by HUSID74 »

This is our first real CAA test. Important that we protect our home court by beating the Huskies. I see this as a real tough game as NE must be smarting after losing to Delaware on their home court...a team we destroyed.

I think we should be legitimate 6-7 point favorites but I will take ANY win on this one.

In fact we just opened as 6.5 pt favs on ESPN's Pick Center.
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Jojogunne
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by Jojogunne »

Looks like the video is a delayed stream at 7 p.m.:

http://www.collegesportslive.com/
EvanJ
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by EvanJ »

Jojogunne wrote: Looks like the video is a delayed stream at 7 p.m.:

http://www.collegesportslive.com/
Charleston at JMU is also a 4:00 P.M. game that's listed at 7:00 P.M., but I'm surprised every CAA game is listed because other than our game, you don't need CollegeSportsLive to watch. I'm going to e-mail the CAA's Rob Washburn because it's bad if there's no live video. If that's the case, it make me happier I bought tickets.
HUSID74 wrote: In fact we just opened as 6.5 pt favs on ESPN's Pick Center.
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-bas ... as/?s=1026 has an opening line of 7.5 that fell to 6.
Last edited by EvanJ on Sat Jan 05, 2019 10:26 am, edited 2 times in total.
stuball888
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by stuball888 »

Can the CAA office screw things up anymore. This is pathetic
HofstraMathew
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by HofstraMathew »

Jojogunne wrote:Looks like the video is a delayed stream at 7 p.m.:

http://www.collegesportslive.com/
Must have just been a typo as it is showing as 4pm now. Also it is listed as free.
EvanJ
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by EvanJ »

I was hoping the time listing was a mistake.

The line is down to 5. The combination of line and over/under predicts 76-71. ESPN+ includes two predictions that are way off. NumberFire predicts 77.2-67.3 (+9.9), and TeamRankings predicts 75.2-70.3 (+4.9). Seven Overtimes predicts 78-70. RealTimeRPI predicts an 84-68 big win.

https://static.caasports.com/custompage ... m#team.ind has Northeastern's statistics.
Wags
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by Wags »

Awful foul by JWF at the end of the half. But he played well (15 pts on 6/12, a couple of GREAT buckets), and a good half overall.

Down 7-2, a big 15-2 run to turn the game and go up 17-9. Up 40-34 at the half.

They did a great job on Pusica. Entered as NU's leading scorer (15.9 ppg), had just one point on 0/4 fg (all from 3).
Wags
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by Wags »

https://twitter.com/HofstraMBB/status/1 ... 9704769536

69 in a row in double figures for JWF. Ties Lew Alcindor for 2nd all-time.
ProudofPride
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by ProudofPride »

Is Northeastern going to get called for any fouls in the 2nd half. 6 on us, 1 on them, and they’ve attempted twice as many free throws... so much for home court advantage.
Also doesn’t help that NU has attempted more than twice as many 3 pointers, and is making a good percentage of them.
Northeastern now had the lead.
Wags
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by Wags »

Back to the old habits (which they had gotten away from this season), standing around and watching letting JWF go to work. He has half of their 50 points and all 10 in the first 8 minutes of the second half. Have to get someone else involved to win this. A 34-24 lead has become a 51-50 deficit.
Wags
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by Wags »

ProudofPride wrote:Is Northeastern going to get called for any fouls in the 2nd half. 6 on us, 1 on them, and they’ve attempted twice as many free throws... so much for home court advantage.
Hofstra settling too much, so not deserving the calls. Although, there have been a few this second half called against Hofstra at the other end when I questioned where the foul was.
dutchiedoright
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by dutchiedoright »

WOW !!!!!!!
Pride97
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by Pride97 »

I just got home and I still can’t believe he got that shot!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
daHUPride
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by daHUPride »

dutchiedoright wrote:WOW !!!!!!!
WOW is right - shades of the Jenkins buzzer beater vs WM
Polito
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by Polito »

WHAT. A. SHOT!!

Real quick, more to follow later, but:

Taylor is the absolute player of the game - 2 monster FTs and the tip to Justin - team is championship caliber with him in

JWF is one of the all-time GOATS of the Hofstra basketball program. Kid is BIG TIME.

And HELLOOOOO ESPN Sportscenter Top 10!! Time to get some national eyes on this team 8-)
ProudofPride
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Re: Northeastern vs. Hofstra 1/5/19

Post by ProudofPride »

SportsCenter is already aware https://www.instagram.com/p/BsRcLUkBie7/
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